Reconciling ecological, social, and economic development in South Africa: a strong sustainability perspective

Type Thesis or Dissertation - Masters thesis
Title Reconciling ecological, social, and economic development in South Africa: a strong sustainability perspective
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2022
URL https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.17009.56161
Abstract
This paper attempts to uncover the possible futures of development of the environment, social, and economic spheres in South Africa. A history of GHG and CO2 emissions, social protection coverage and expenditure, and the labour market are provided to contextualise these areas, as well as their recent developments and trends. Further, a methodological framework centring a strong sustainability approach is employed, assessing what severity of constraints, given two scenarios, exist in achieving goals of emission reduction as per the September 2021 NDC targets, with regard to fulfilling constitutional obligations in providing adequate social protection coverage, unemployment targets as per the NDP, public debt levels, and the balance of payments. Results show that with current energy generation and productive structures, harsh constraints make meeting these goals unlikely. However, we also show the mechanisms by which these constraints may be relaxed. Ultimately, it will fall to political will, succinct industrial policy, and investment in order to enable any meaningful ecological transition.

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